Document: 6800 | Created: 08:42 09/16/2005 UTC | Help#:1-877-280-2811 | Page: 01 Description: Tropical Cyclone Text | N ATL ________________________________________________________________________________ FKNT21 KNHC 160241 TCANT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0300Z FRI SEP 16 2005 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20050916/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OPHELIA NR: 040 PSN: N3430 W07448 MOV: E 04KT C: 0988HPA MAX WIND: 060KT FCST PSN + 12 HR: 161200 N3530 W07430 FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 060KT FCST PSN + 18 HR: 161800 N3621 W07345 FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 060KT FCST PSN + 24 HR: 170000 N3712 W07300 FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 055KT NXT MSG: 20050916/0900Z $$ FKNT21 KNHC 160836 TCANT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0900Z FRI SEP 16 2005 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20050916/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OPHELIA NR: 041 PSN: N3506 W07448 MOV: N 04KT C: 0994HPA MAX WIND: 055KT FCST PSN + 12 HR: 161800 N3606 W07400 FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 055KT FCST PSN + 18 HR: 170000 N3703 W07300 FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 055KT FCST PSN + 24 HR: 170600 N3800 W07200 FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 055KT NXT MSG: 20050916/1500Z $$ No reports are currently available for FKNT3 KNHC WTNT21 KNHC 160229 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005 0300Z FRI SEP 16 2005 AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER ARE DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. Document: 6800 | Created: 08:42 09/16/2005 UTC | Help#:1-877-280-2811 | Page: 02 Description: Tropical Cyclone Text | N ATL ________________________________________________________________________________ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AND NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 74.8W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 50SW 35NW. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 175SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 74.8W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 75.1W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 35NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 37.2N 73.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 40.0N 70.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.0N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 48.0N 55.0W...INLAND...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 51.0N 41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 54.0N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 74.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ WTNT21 KNHC 160836 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005 0900Z FRI SEP 16 2005 Document: 6800 | Created: 08:42 09/16/2005 UTC | Help#:1-877-280-2811 | Page: 03 Description: Tropical Cyclone Text | N ATL ________________________________________________________________________________ AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO LUNENBERG. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 74.8W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 74.8W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 74.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 36.1N 74.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 38.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 41.0N 69.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 44.0N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 48.5N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 52.0N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 54.0N 21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N 74.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ WTNT31 KNHC 160240 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Document: 6800 | Created: 08:42 09/16/2005 UTC | Help#:1-877-280-2811 | Page: 04 Description: Tropical Cyclone Text | N ATL ________________________________________________________________________________ TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2005 ...WEAKENED OPHELIA MOVING ERRATICALLY EASTWARD OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER ARE DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AND NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY EASTWARD NEAR 5 MPH. AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON FRIDAY. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK HOWEVER...AND SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. WITHIN THE PAST HOUR THE DIAMOND SHOALS BUOY...LOCATED ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS...REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 54 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD SUBSIDE ON FRIDAY. OPHELIA WILL LIKELY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS FAR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...34.5 N... 74.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ WTNT31 KNHC 160555 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A Document: 6800 | Created: 08:42 09/16/2005 UTC | Help#:1-877-280-2811 | Page: 05 Description: Tropical Cyclone Text | N ATL ________________________________________________________________________________ NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005 ...OPHELIA WEAKENING AS IT MEANDERS OFF THE OUTER BANKS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AND NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS DRIFTED TO THE NORTH OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK HOWEVER...AND A CONTINUED ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. OPHELIA WILL LIKELY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS FAR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...34.7 N... 74.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWARD DRIFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ WTNT31 KNHC 160838 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005 ...OPHELIA BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHWARD... AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO LUNENBERG. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE Document: 6800 | Created: 08:42 09/16/2005 UTC | Help#:1-877-280-2811 | Page: 06 Description: Tropical Cyclone Text | N ATL ________________________________________________________________________________ ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED BY RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA OR SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...35.1 N... 74.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$